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Azerbaijan’s Strategic Patience in a Changing World

By Anar Valiyev and Inara Yagubova August 30, 2022   For the last 30 years Azerbaijan has aimed to restore its territorial integrity and political independence through its multi vector foreign policy,...

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Israel’s Role in the Second Armenia-Azerbaijan War and Its Implications for...

By Brenda Shaffer September 9, 2022   For a quarter of a century, Israel and Azerbaijan have maintained deep strategic cooperation that touches on national security issues of the highest importance to...

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Turkmenistan Lifts Its Head

By S. Frederick Starr  December 2, 2022 In recent months Turkmenistan has emerged from its self-imposed shell. Under its new president, Serdar Berdimuhamedov, it has launched a very active, though...

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Iran and Russia: from “Oil-for-Goods Swap” to “Oil-Gas Swap”

By Vali Kaleji      January 17, 2023   Recent agreements between Tehran and Moscow on an oil-gas swap is another sign of Russia’s turn towards Asian oil and gas markets and closer relations between the...

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A Unique Strategic Opportunity for the South Caucasus

By Mamuka Tsereteli February 8, 2022 Armenia’s decision to refuse hosting of the military exercises of the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), announced by Prime Minister Nikol...

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Iran-Azerbaijan Tensions and the Tehran Embassy Attack

By Alexander Yeo and Emil A. Souleimanov       May 8, 2023   On January 27, a gunman entered Azerbaijan’s embassy in the Iranian capital, killing a security officer. This violent incident appears to...

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President Aliyev: “Relations between Azerbaijan and Iran are at the Lowest...

By Brenda Shaffer       May 8, 2023   From day one of the independence of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Iran has been hostile toward Baku and consistently acted to undermine its security and...

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Deepening Azerbaijani-Israeli Cooperation Contributes to South Caucasus...

By Robert M. Cutler   May 23, 2023 In mid-April, days before Azerbaijan opened its embassy in Tel Aviv, Israeli foreign minister Eli Cohen visited Baku to discuss regional security and Israeli...

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Russia and Iran Diverge in the South Caucasus

By Vali Kaleji     June 15, 2023 Despite some similarities in Iran’s and Russia’s approaches towards the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Tehran and...

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The U.S. Role in International Mediation of the South Caucasus Peace Process

By Robert M. Cutler       June 26, 2023 Intensive rounds of negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the past few months seem to be hitting a pause. Some progress has been made via each of the...

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Russia's Weakened Influence in Central Asia and the Caucasus

By Alexander Yeo and Emil Souleimanov July 6, 2023 Russia has long been a regional hegemon, able to actively exert hard and soft power over many of its neighbors, the Central Asian and South Caucasian...

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Is it America’s Hour in the Caucasus?

By Stephen Blank   July 10, 2023 On May 4 Secretary of State Blinken announced that the negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan had made progress and that an agreement that would terminate the...

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Downturn in Karabakh?

By Robert M. Cutler September 18, 2023 The negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan were making important and substantive progress before the summer break. In the interim, however the Armenian...

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Decreasing Water Levels in the Caspian Sea: Causes and Implications

By Vali Kaleji October 13, 2023 Various reports indicate that the water level of the Caspian Sea has decreased by one meter in recent years and could drop by 9 to 18 meters (30 to 59 feet) by the end...

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A New Spring for Caspian Transit and Trade

Svante E. Cornell and Brenda Shaffer October 17, 2023 Major recent shifts, starting with the Taliban victory in Afghanistan and Russia’s war in Ukraine have led to a resurgence of the Trans-Caspian...

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Armenia’s Crisis After Azerbaijan's Final Offensive in Nagorno-Karabakh

By Natalia Konarzewska November 9, 2023 Armenia was hit by a political and humanitarian crisis after Azerbaijan launched a massive military offensive in Nagorno-Karabakh on September, aimed at...

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Security and Military Cooperation Among the Turkic States in the 2020s

Richard Outzen December 8, 2023 There has been a rapid intensification of Turkish relations with Turkic states in Central Asia and the Caucasus in the past decade. The creation of the Organization of...

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Is the Aras Corridor an Alternative to Zangezur?

By Vali Kaleji February 5, 2024 Iran and Azerbaijan recently agreed to establish a transit route called the “Aras Corridor.” It is intended to pass through the Iranian province of East Azerbaijan and...

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Pashinyan Between Armenia and Azerbaijan: The Curse of Radical Changes

By Mehmet Fatih Oztarsu February 27, 2024 Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan seeks a new path forward following Azerbaijan’s seizure of Nagorno-Karabakh and the radical shift in regional dynamics...

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Armenia and Azerbaijan: The Distant Perspective of Peace, Cooperation and...

By Intigam Mamedov March 21, 2024 On February 13, 2024, a new border skirmish took place between Armenia and Azerbaijan, months after Baku regained its territories in Nagorno-Karabakh. While the sides...

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